Turoa is reporting Open as at 11 October, 3:03 PM NZT — the last update we captured.

Turoa snow report & closure odds

Q: Will Turoa be open on Monday 12 October 2026?

Our model puts the chance of Turoa being closed on Monday 12 October 2026 at 8%. That is our locked call for that day as at 11 October, 8:00 PM NZT.

Q: How often does Turoa close?

Turoa has closed on 10 of the 99 days we have a record for this season. Its longer history — 278 days, mostly under the previous operator — works out at about 1 day in 4, but Turoa changed operators in 2024 and the new owner has been opening in conditions the old operator often didn't, so that older rate may not reflect how the mountain is run now, in either direction. Counted as at 11 October, 8:21 PM NZT.

We predict if Turoa will be open on Monday 12 October 2026 from the weather forecast, combined with this mountain’s own closure record.

Manawatu-Whanganui · Pure Turoa Ltd

mountain Openlifts 0/7 · not running: Giant Chair, Parklane Chair, Movenpick Chair, High Noon Express, Alpine Meadow Carpet, Wintergarden Platter & Alpine Meadow Platter — closedroad Openbase 111 cmreported 11 October · 3:03pm NZT

Turoa’s own words: “Sundays report: It's wild, wet & windy at Tūroa today! With winds forecast to increase further this morning, all on-mountain facilities will remain closed for the day.”

Will Turoa be open on Monday 12 October 2026?

live · updated 11 October · 8:07pm TUNED TO THIS MOUNTAIN

Will Turoa be open on Monday 12 October 2026?

8% chance it doesn't run

Our locked call for tomorrow: 8% — none of wind, snow, rain or avalanche danger is behind this on its own. locked 11 October · 8:00pm NZT — the one we score ourselves on

0%50%100%

better than usual here (typically 1-in-4)

We call 8% — none of wind, snow, rain or avalanche danger is behind this on its own. ?

Medium confidence

Turoa has closed on 1 of the last 14 days without our number calling it — this one can run low.

Tūroa changed operators in 2024 and the new owner has been investing in snowmaking and opening in conditions the old operator often didn’t. Our best guess is the number shown. Medium confidence: only 14 scored days of our own behind it, and the 278 days of closure history under it are largely the previous operator’s — that history may not reflect how the mountain is run now, in either direction.

SundayOpen · up to 0 of 7 lifts ran

SaturdayOpen · 5 of 7 lifts

How often does Turoa close?

This is the part the official reports don't tell you. We keep every day of Turoa's season on record — open, closed, or no report — and every call we've made about it.

Days recorded this season	99
Days closed	10
Typical closure rate	26.3% (1 day in 4)
History behind that rate	278 days
Night-before calls made	64 (64 scored, 33 correct)

On the days we have a record for, Turoa was closed 10 times out of 99.

See Turoa’s season record ↓

Is Turoa open today?

Last report from Turoa: Open (11 October, 3:03 PM NZT). We check Turoa's own report every 10 minutes through the morning and every 15 minutes through the day, so a mid-morning closure shows up here quickly.

Read Turoa’s official report → Always check the mountain’s own site before you drive.