Will Whakapapa be open on Monday 12 October 2026?
⚠ Closed at last report — Whakapapa hasn’t published a reason we’ve captured.
live · updated 11 October · 8:07pm BASED ON ITS HISTORY
Will Whakapapa be open on Monday 12 October 2026?
The forecast was quiet when we locked this in, so we put the chance of closing at 5%.
locked 11 October · 8:00pm NZT — the one we score ourselves on
better than usual here (typically 1-in-15)
The weather looks good — wind, snow, rain and avalanche danger all come in under this mountain's limits in the latest forecast.
Medium confidence
Whakapapa has closed on 2 of the last 14 days without our number calling it — this one can run low.
Whakapapa’s new operator added 10 automated snow guns for 2026 (about 20% more snowmaking capacity) on top of its Snow Factory. Our best guess is the number shown. Medium confidence: only 14 scored days of our own behind it, and the 292 days of closure history under it are largely the previous operator’s — that history may not reflect how the mountain is run now, in either direction.
SundayClosed
SaturdayOpen
How often does Whakapapa close?
This is the part the official reports don't tell you. We keep every day of Whakapapa's season on record — open, closed, or no report — and every call we've made about it.
| Days recorded this season | 94 |
| Days closed | 1 |
| Typical closure rate | 6.5% (1 day in 15) |
| History behind that rate | 292 days |
| Night-before calls made | 64 (64 scored, 52 correct) |
On the days we have a record for, Whakapapa was closed 1 time out of 94.
See Whakapapa’s season record ↓
Is Whakapapa open today?
Last report from Whakapapa: Closed (11 October, 4:50 PM NZT). We check Whakapapa's own report every 10 minutes through the morning and every 15 minutes through the day, so a mid-morning closure shows up here quickly.
Read Whakapapa’s official report → Always check the mountain’s own site before you drive.